After the Colts put up 26 points in their Wildcard game against the Bengals, Vegas is expecting a shootout for the Colts-Broncos game with Denver winning by a touchdown in the Divisional round. The official line is DEN (-7) with a game total of 53 points.The odds are similar for the other Divisional round game with the Baltimore Ravens versus the New England Patriots whom are also favored to win by seven points.
This could of course change throughout the week, but there doesn’t seem to be any major injuries from either team that would move the line significantly. Check out the odds below and let us know what you think.
Denver Broncos -7
Over/Under 53 points
In the third game of Wildcard Weekend, the Bengals offense couldn’t overcome injuries to sidelined starters in A.J. Green and Jermaine Gresham. Cincinnati was only able to score once, which was on a 1-yard goal line rush by running back Jeremy Hill in the first quarter.
The Colts offense looked sloppy at times with drops by T.Y. Hilton and multiple fumbles by Daniel “Boom” Herron, but Andrew Luck continued to make plays and find open receivers leading to him to pass for 376 yards and a touchdown. Despite the turnovers, Herron also contributed heavily in the victory, rushing 12 times for 54 yards and adding 10 receptions for 85 yards in the passing game.
The Colts will go on to face the Denver Broncos next Sunday (1/11) with a schedule start time of 4:40pm EST airing on CBS.
If you haven’t been incorporating Vegas odds into your Daily Fantasy Sports lineups, you have been missing out on a crucial angle.
For example, take a look at the QB odds by Vegas this week for “most passing yards by a quarterback.” What these odds would indicate is Andrew Luck and Ben Roethlisberger are heavy favorites to lead Wildcard Weekend in passing yards.
Why is this important?
On DraftKings, Luck is the highest-priced QB at $8800, meanwhile, Roethlisberger is priced at $7300, or a difference of $1500. By swapping in Roethlisberger for Luck, you could save a significant amount of salary cap to be used elsewhere for what amounts to the same odds of producing passing yards. It’s an angle to consider when setting your lineups.
Similar to how we analysed prices for QBs, Vegas also gives odds for wide receivers. There are a few things to note when it comes to these prices:
- Antonio Brown is expected to record the most receiving yards of the week
- Calvin Johnson ($8800), Dez Bryant ($8500) and T.Y. Hilton ($7800) are all equal in terms of odds on who will get the most receiving yards between the three, but you can save yourself $1000 or $700 in salary cap space by going with Hilton over the other two.
- Steve Smith and Torrey Smith are both the same at 15/1 odds, yet Steve is priced at $5000 and Torrey is priced at $5400. You can save yourself a tad of money and basically get the same odds of receiving yards points.
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(January 4th, 1pm EST) – Las Vegas has the Indianapolis Colts as 3-point favorites over the Cincinnati Bengals in the third Wild Card game this weekend. The Vegas spread and total could have plenty of movement throughout the week with two notable injuries for both teams:
Wide receiver Reggie Wayne left the game in Week 17 against the Tennessee Titans in the second quarter with a pulled groin muscle. Although he is expected to play, his impact and playing time are unknown.
Wide receiver A.J. Green took a massive shot to the head from Steelers Safety Mike Mitchell and was out the rest of Sunday Night Football. He has to pass concussion protocols this week in order to play. Without his presence, the Bengals will be sporting one of the worst receiving corps of any playoff team.
Indianapolis Colts -3
Over/Under 49 total points